"Undermining my electoral viability since 2001."

Rich get Richer

Another profit record on Wall Street. This time from scrappy underdog Bear Stearns:

Bear Stearns on Thursday was the latest Wall Street bank to report record first-quarter earnings thanks to strong performances by its trading, derivatives and investment banking businesses.

The company said first-quarter profits rose 36 per cent to $514m, or $3.54 per share, from $379m, or $2.64 per share a year earlier.

But, as fate would have it, some of those profits will have to be let go. The very same morning:

Bear Stearns Cos. has been fined $250 million by the New York Stock Exchange and the Securities and Exchange Commission for fraudulent market timing and late trading of mutual funds, regulators said Thursday

Well, in fairness, the $500M came from one quarter (three months) work. The fines cover misdeeds over four years, from 1999 to 2003. I'm sure everyone's year-end bonuses will still be pretty good, rest assured.

Is it wrong of me to wonder whether these record profits have anything to do with those other record profits that came in about across the board from petrochemical (oil) companies? We heard about the US company record from Exxon/Mobil, but there was also a UK record from Shell, and personal bests for both BP and Chevron.

Those are the four big private oil companies worldwide, may their astronomical wealth trickle ever downward. In commie pinko places like Alberta, Canada, where the oil operations are managed by the state, they're stocking up public-investment funds. Here in Corporate America, we've got a $7B giveaway to these already fantastically successful companies.

Woo! Hummer 3s all around!

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Air Strike

Breaking news reports of a "massive" air strike North of Baghdad. Turned on CNN for a moment, looking like they're slipping back into a cheerleading mode. Interesting. Bet there will be lots of 1991-style footage for the Cableheads. Wonder what we blew up this time?

...Ahh, attacks on insurgents of course. A little note of skepticism from CNN's lady at the Pentagon. Apparently this is something that's just launching. Seems like maybe that's a choice, to telegraph a military operation to the stateside media.

Also being billed first as an "airstrike," maybe confirmation of what Sy Hersch has been saying?

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Kos

Apparently Markos was on TV tonight and now the world knows that he does, in fact, look like a 12-year-old.

The effect is even more pronounced when he's wearing a Cubs jersey.

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Censure

Sign MoveOn Petition

I think for a lot of political activities, it's useful to have a group aggregate the people's will. Calling your Senator directly is a good idea... get their staffers on the record and all that. However, when trying to get Democrats to take a stand -- even when it's both the right thing and in their political interest to do so -- can be difficult. It's an issue of overcoming their fear, in which case having an organization pick up the gauntlet helps out a lot.

Also, for what it's worth, the fear among Democrats that standing up against illegal wiretaps (or any of a host of other issues) will leave them looking "weak" reflects not only how deeply lost in the the hall of media mirrors most of them have become, but also the extent to which they are without their own ideas or vision for national security or the US's role in the world. This is a big problem.

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Kudo For Bush

The President was in Rochester recently, and he stopped on the tarmac to say hey to that kid with autism who found the mother of all zones when he got four minutes of court time with his High School basketball team (hit 6 threes in a row).

Bush at his best, and really this was a pretty decent thing to, even if it was kinda photo-oppy. Seemed pretty genuine, especially the hug at the end.

Frank and I used to discuss how it's good to have something you still like about W. So it was nice to see this.

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Fundraising Thoughts

Just now, watching the PBS fund-drive, and reflecting on some other things that have happened to me in the past few years, I thought maybe I figured something out.

The non-profit sector is pretty ineffectual these days by my reckoning. It's a problem. I think I might know one of the causes.

The people who generally end up running non-profits are fundraisers. They're good at getting people to donate money, particularly -- for 501c(3) and c(4) organizations -- in large-dollar incriments. I think this is problematic for a number of reasons:

  • Good fundraisers do not tend to be executives, leaders or managers. They are more akin to salespeople.
  • The emphasis on the fundraising/survival cycle diverts resources from accomplishing organizational goals.
  • The typical fundraiser's mindset is fundimentally risk-averse, wary of alienating potential donors.
  • Because fundraising (again, like sales) often hinges on relationships, there is an organizational resistence to turnover which allow bad managers to remain in leadership positions because they can bring in the dollars that keep the organization alive.

All this adds up to ineffectual leadership, a lack of vision, and most importantly a drought of results from the non-profit sector. Bad times.

The rise of small-dollar fundraising (especially online) offers some potential rays of light. However, it's unclear at this point what potential population of donors exists, whether existing non-profits have the savvy to tap them, or whether channels can be created to connect potential donors with budding social entrepreneurs who are willing to go where estabished non-profits fear to tread.

In my experience, small-dollar donations tend to come when someone is able to present a clear and credible value proposition. Small-dollar donors don't do it for the ego strokes a big fish recieves, and no one really needs that tote-bag. Small-dollar donations come because people are convinced, one way or another, that they're making an investment that makes sense for them.

This is something the political establishment has yet to comprehend, but it's very clearly the motivation behind most micro-donor fundraising phenomena. Wikipedia can raise a million dollars because wikipedia provides value. Wes Clark, Dennis Kucinich, Howard Dean (and I should mention John McCain in 2000) could all raise big money online because they were making an appeal to actually do something, and in a way that -- like Wikipedia -- offered people various entres to participation.

Most political consultants fail to comprehend this. It's outside their field of vision. Most candidates, likewise, are not strong or willful or communicative enough to create similar value propositions for their constituents. To be fair, the majority of constituents would rather watch this week's episode of Lost, so it's an uphill battle all around.

Until we discover ways to easily create new non-commercial enterprises, effectively connect regular people with these new entities, and do so in a way that promotes accountability on the organizational site, the culture of participation will remain nacient. If we can discover mechanisms (legal, technological, entrepreneurial) which can accomplish the above, the sky's the limit.

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Iran Mongering

Interesting. Today's speech by Bush is being played differently around the press. The NYT piece leads with Bush, Conceding Problems, Defends Iraq War, while William Douglass of the Knight Ridder syndicate runs, Bush accuses Iran of giving explosives to Iraqi insurgents, with the sub-title, "speech challenges oppposition to war."

I saw the Iran claim in the NY Post today while getting my Chinese food. Played up that Bush vowed to "rally the world to confront Tehran" and claimed material for IEDs (the roadside bombs that have caused the most US casualties) is coming from Iran. Seems sorta hoky and transparent to me.

Let's take a short trip in the way-back machine. Didn't we fail utterly to secure arms caches in the post-invasion chaos? Oh yeah, that's right.

In most accounts of insurgent activity I've read, IEDs are usually re-wired artillery shells and the like, which would seem to support the idea that they are the re-purposed remains of Iraq's conventional arsinal, not high explosives smuggled from Iran.

Bush's popularity is the lowest of anyone since Nixon in his final hours, and here he is trying to whip up more war fever. Ain't gonna work.

Democrats should begin embracing the twin issues of Redeployment and Energy Independence and stake that ground out before conservatives do.

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Strong Bad Email

I haven't been up on the ol' Homestar lately, but this is a real good one: Head-nub, nub-head and "rioting against the municipality."

Awesome.

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The Honest Man

The Honest Man, a blog you may want to read from a solid friend of mine.

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Rich get Richer

Goldman Sachs profits hit record. They're up 64% over last year. The economy is booming! Yeah!

Well, since I know people who swim in those pools, maybe some of this will trickle down to me. The rest of the country, maybe not so much. Such are our times.

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