"Undermining my electoral viability since 2001."

Salesmanship vs. Misleading

The meme du Jour from Bush-backers and continued supporters of our occupation of Iraq is that Democrats are engaging in historical revisionism by asserting they were "misled" into supporting the invasion. This is termed unpatriotic, by the leading light of the online Right. I call bullshit.

But first the quote:

And yes, he should question their patriotism. Because they're acting unpatriotically.
...
Patriotic people could -- and did -- oppose the war. But so did a lot of scoundrels. And some who supported the war were not patriotic, if they did it out of opportunism or political calculation rather than honest belief. Those who are now trying to recast their prior positions through dishonest rewriting of history are not patriotic now, nor were they when they supported the war, if they did so then out of opportunism --which today's revisionist history suggests.

My first impression is there's a bit difference between "not patriotic" and "unpatriotic," and the rhetoric is all over the map. After all, patriotism isn't a binary litmus that can be applied to every action and thought. But anyway, Glenn Reynolds sort of has a point here in so much as its hard to believe that Senators Kerry, Clinton, Edwards et al were really just wide-eyed does who let their trust in our Dear Leader carry their hearts away in supporting his war.

But really, that's neither here nor there. The point is that it's now almost impossible for folks to ignore the evidence that the White House was explicitly and intentionally dishonest in making its case for war. The operative question is whether or not that bothers you.

It bothers me. How about you?

Even if I believe many Democrats' decision to support Bush in 2002 was influenced by political expediency (and I do), that doesn't mean they weren't also being misled at the time. It also doesn't mean that the piece of legilsation they all voted for was an authorization of invasion. And it's not rewriting history to say, hey, we fucked up. We blew it. If we knew then what we know now, we would have acted differently.

At the time Bush was playing two gambits. First of all, he was making all sorts of noise about working through the UN, it's all about the inspections, etc. I remember being taken in by one of his early speeches on this, thinking, "hey, if he can get the UN to really do it, maybe that'll be a step forward for all of us." By the time things got around to a vote on Capitol Hill, it didn't take a rocket scientist to realize Bush was only interested in the UN as far as they provided him with political cover, but the bill they were voting on was about inspections, not pre-emptive invasion.

That's bum behavior enough, but it's the second part of Bush's war-pitch baboozle that's really gotten him in trouble with the Public. It's now roundly understood that the White House Iraq Group was selectively sharing intelligence with Congress and the Senate in order to maximize hype, and hide any intel that would have cast doubt on the notion that Saddam was an imminent threat. They were cherry-picking what they gave the Senate, and in public they were selectively quoting that selectively-shared intelligence in an acknowledged campaign to whip up public support -- to "sell" the war, so to speak.

Here's what the "sales" process boils down to: you create pain in your customer and presenting your product as the answer to that pain. Sometimes the pain is really there and sometimes the thing you're selling is actually a solution, but usually not on both counts. It is an inherantly dishonest process. I know this. I've done in-home hard-sells of a $1,500 vaccuum-cleaner; the sell works because we used these small paper pads to catch the dirt from 10-seconds worth of vaccuuming and left them scattered all over someone's living room until they cracked and bought the thing. In essence, the idea was to make people feel their house is full of filth and this "cleaning system" is the only way out. The guys who were really good would say, "Just keep pulling up dirt pads. Everyone has a breaking point."

This is a pretty brute-force example, but most advertisements work on a similar level of peddling fantasies to elicit an emotional longing for the product. Coors Light comes with sexy blond twins! Oh, wait. I meant a hangover. See the car rocketing across the desert? Freedom! Yes! This is what I need in my life! Oh wait. Buy the car, sit in traffic. Huh.

The reason sales actually works in the long run is that buyers usually find something to like about what they purchased -- Coors Light does get you drunk; the car handles well, etc -- so in the end they don't feel angry at the person who got them over the hump to buy it.

Problem with the War is there's not much to like. In fact, it's pretty much been a disaster, and the more you pay attention the worse it gets. People feel hoodwinked. They've been sold a bum bill of goods. They've been misled.

I would argue that the tactics of Sales were even more expertly deployed in the lobbying that went on in and around DC in late 2002/early 2003 than they were on the public relations front, which mostly amounted to fear-based propaganda. Remember, the insider-support for the war was far greater than actual Public support all the way down the line. The Bush team did a very good job of painting most of DC and the Press into a corner where there was a painful amount of pressure, and the quickest way to get it off you was to say you "supported the President in disarming a Dictator."

So is there a little opportunism at work here? Probably. But killing 10s of 1000s of people puts you pretty far into karma deficit, so suck it up. If the Democrats have any sense they'll pound Bush repeatedly on this, beat him like the adopted national crack-baby that he is, turn his whole second term into a carnival of lame duckatude.

You reap what you sow, fuckers.

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Flight

Stayed up all night, flew the first legs in a stupor. Stray thought, am I getting too old for this? Naaahhh... Somewhere on the airport CNN I heard McCain calling for more troops in Iraq. Reading Fear and Loathing in America (which I left on the G-D plane), seems to synch oddly. Where are these "more troops" coming from? Heavier echoes of Vietnam every day.

PDX is the best damn airport I know, a wonder to travel through. High-power wi-fi coverage (free, natch), and a world-class sushi bar when you clear security. Miso, fresh tuna, wasabi, maybe a microbrew if you're in the mood or water and coffee if you're not. It's the best cure to the drain of traveling I know.

I've got three or so hours of business to conduct from my office here outside Tully's Coffee. "Anywhere I roam, where I get online is home..." </metallica> ho ho ho.

And just now I saw a girl I knew, and even had a teenage crush on, walk by. Still looking good. Still having the same boyfriend. That's the beauty of Oregon. Gives me a warm feeling.

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Winging

I'm getting ready to ramble -- heading back to Oregon for the weekend because...

David and Jessica

Are Getting MARRIED

Those crazy kids. I'll let you know if I catch the bouquet.

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When We Fail, Others Can Win

This is worth reading inre: the recent massive earthquake in Pakistan:

What about the Islamist organizations of Pakistan; how did they respond? The same Kashmir leader told Reuters, "The jihadi groups are more sincerely taking part in relief operations. Those groups, which were branded bad by the government, are no doubt doing well and will influence people's sympathy in the future."

A number of earthquake victims attested to this reality by stating that the only prompt help they have gotten has been from Islamist groups. (See Asia Times Online Waging jihad against disaster, October 20.) Even Pakistani President General Pervez Musharraf agreed with the performance of the Islamist groups related to post-earthquake assistance.
...

Al-Qaeda is having a field day watching the community of nations perform so deplorably in regard to the human tragedy in Pakistan.

When local orgs outperform the nation state and international community, they demonstrate superior fitness, and they build primary loyalty with the Public. And they deserve to, because they're doing the Right Thing better than We in this situation -- taking care of people who are in dire need.

By the by, this is how Christianity spreads a lot of the time: missionaries arrive with Better Things (say, antibiotics) than the people have on their own, make they make sure the indios understand that the Better Things are only possible because of Jesus, and the rest works itself out. Human beings like to win. Whoever's doing it right has the advantage. Nothing succeds like success, and nothing fails like failure.

Look for more and more various developments like this -- smaller network orgs beating lumbering 20th-century institutions -- in the coming years. Eventually the Establishment will turn on and start working with the new stuff, but only after they're repeatedly and publicly whipped for their incompetance. The fatbacks recoil from anything which threatens their control, even if that means they get beaten like a gongs by their most hated enemies; they're fundimentally greedy and assume their "expertice" makes them more fit than any others to make decisions; rather drive in defeat than let go and win.

The only question is whether they go down in a heavy exctincion/evolution cycle, or adapt in time to save enough of their juice to remain relevant. Across the board the results will be mixed -- e.g. the odds of recognizable survival for General Motors are different than, say, the Democratic Party -- but I believe that by the time my children get out on their own the institutional landscape will have changed significantly.

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When We Fail, Others Can Win

This is worth reading inre: the recent massive earthquake in Pakistan:

What about the Islamist organizations of Pakistan; how did they respond? The same Kashmir leader told Reuters, "The jihadi groups are more sincerely taking part in relief operations. Those groups, which were branded bad by the government, are no doubt doing well and will influence people's sympathy in the future."

A number of earthquake victims attested to this reality by stating that the only prompt help they have gotten has been from Islamist groups. (See Asia Times Online Waging jihad against disaster, October 20.) Even Pakistani President General Pervez Musharraf agreed with the performance of the Islamist groups related to post-earthquake assistance.
...

Al-Qaeda is having a field day watching the community of nations perform so deplorably in regard to the human tragedy in Pakistan.

When local orgs outperform the nation state and international community, they demonstrate superior fitness, and they build primary loyalty with the Public. And they deserve to, because they're doing the Right Thing better than We in this situation -- taking care of people who are in dire need.

By the by, this is how Christianity spreads a lot of the time: missionaries arrive with Better Things (say, antibiotics) than the people have on their own, make they make sure the indios understand that the Better Things are only possible because of Jesus, and the rest works itself out. Human beings like to win. Whoever's doing it right has the advantage. Nothing succeds like success, and nothing fails like failure.

Look for more and more various developments like this -- smaller network orgs beating lumbering 20th-century institutions -- in the coming years. Eventually the Establishment will turn on and start working with the new stuff, but only after they're repeatedly and publicly whipped for their incompetance. The fatbacks recoil from anything which threatens their control, even if that means they get beaten like a gongs by their most hated enemies; they're fundimentally greedy and assume their "expertice" makes them more fit than any others to make decisions; rather drive in defeat than let go and win.

The only question is whether they go down in a heavy exctincion/evolution cycle, or adapt in time to save enough of their juice to remain relevant. Across the board the results will be mixed -- e.g. the odds of recognizable survival for General Motors are different than, say, the Democratic Party -- but I believe that by the time my children get out on their own the institutional landscape will have changed significantly.

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Political Compass

The political compass calls me a Lefty/Libertarian, which is cool. I think okcupid's combined relationship/politics test resuts of "Socialist Playboy" is cooler.

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Impeachement

It's worth noting that if current polling trends continue there's a chance that Bush could face deadly serious political consequences; should the Democrats retake the House or Senate in a year the fur may fly. The Public is waking up and smelling the white phospherous (warning: ugly ugly link) and isn't too happy about how everything has gone down. There's a legitimate (though slim) chance that Bush could even face impeachment, or slightly more likely a series of investigations into his administration which could lead to a Nixon-esque resignation under duress.

I'm not getting my hopes up -- the Democratic party's ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory is storied and epic -- but the political and legal logic is there. Should the Dems actually forge a vital coalition tapping the massive charge of static energy building up between the moral outrage on the Left and the desire catharsis in the Center/Right, the sparks just might be enough to short out the Republican Noise Machine.

And yeah, I know a lot of politics lately. Election-time, ok? I actually went on a date last night and that was prety good too, but I don't tend to kiss and blog, so you'll have to bear with my interests.

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1984 Watch

White House Alters Transcript of Press Briefing.

So the White House wants history to show that Scott McClellen disagreed rather than agreed with a reporter's statement that Karl Rove was certainly involved in the CIA leak. They''ve altered their transcript, and have been lobbying other news orgs to do the same.

The fact that they're going so balls-out on this -- changing McClellen's statement 180-degrees in the face of video evidence clearly showing that he said "that's accurate" and certainly not "I don't think that's accurate" -- reflects a certain kind of desparation, I think.

Or maybe with things in such chaos over there, they've got second stringers running the show. I could imagine some junior-grade yes-men failing to realize that the rules are reverting back to "normal" and that Bush administration's Orwellian powers are on the wane.

I can't believe they'd honestly think this would work though. Weird. The sort of minor nature of the change they're pushing for seems to point to it being part of a strategy of legal defense. We'll see.

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Kill Bill's Browser

The beautiful freaks at Downhill Battle have a new campaign: Kill Bill's Browser - Switch to Firefox. This is raising the stakes. Backed by a $1/referral offer from Google, they're making a push to drive the next wave of adoption.

What's interesting is that the new browser wars are more likely to be fought over associated services. Right now the main thing in play is who gets to handle things from the "search" bar, but the future will see more refined and specialized services. This is what the Flockers want to do, though in the short term their revenue stream appears to be replacing Google search with Yahoo and suckling from that teat. I think we've got a ways to go before these services really break.

The interesting thing is that the break-out of these services will coincide with the maturation of today's teenagers. There are political implications here too; the 2008 election will see the largest potential youth vote in US history. The right candidate with the right online campaign could make serious waves.

Anyway, if you browse with IE, get ready to be annoyed coming here.

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Kill Bill's Browser

The beautiful freaks at Downhill Battle have a new campaign: Kill Bill's Browser - Switch to Firefox. This is raising the stakes. Backed by a $1/referral offer from Google, they're making a push to drive the next wave of adoption.

What's interesting is that the new browser wars are more likely to be fought over associated services. Right now the main thing in play is who gets to handle things from the "search" bar, but the future will see more refined and specialized services. This is what the Flockers want to do, though in the short term their revenue stream appears to be replacing Google search with Yahoo and suckling from that teat. I think we've got a ways to go before these services really break.

The interesting thing is that the break-out of these services will coincide with the maturation of today's teenagers. There are political implications here too; the 2008 election will see the largest potential youth vote in US history. The right candidate with the right online campaign could make serious waves.

Anyway, if you browse with IE, get ready to be annoyed coming here.

Read More

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